NFL Survivor Picks and Recaps
Who to pick each week of the 2026 season, and an honest accounting of how those picks turned out.
Week 8 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): Green Bay Beats Carolina on Thursday Night
Thursday held our avoid call on Carolina and Green Bay. Top pick Cincinnati, alternative Jacksonville and Dallas all play Sunday.
Picks go up Tuesday morning. The recap grades them by Monday night, misses included. Anything can happen on a Sunday. The plan is the part we control.
Past weeks
- Week 8Oct 30, 2026This weekGradedPicks
Week 8 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): Green Bay Beats Carolina on Thursday Night
Thursday held our avoid call on Carolina and Green Bay. Top pick Cincinnati, alternative Jacksonville and Dallas all play Sunday.
- Week 7Oct 23, 2026GradedPicks
Week 7 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): Chicago Holds Off New England on Thursday Night
Top pick Houston lost in overtime and the Jets lost too. Alternative Minnesota won; the Baltimore and Monday night avoid calls held and Denver paid off.
- Week 6Oct 16, 2026GradedPicks
Week 6 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): Denver Beats Seattle in Overtime on Thursday Night
Top pick Rams lost at 85 percent and the save-your-studs Colts lost too. Alternative New England won; avoid calls on Seattle and Baltimore held.
- Week 5Oct 9, 2026GradedPicks
Week 5 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): Tampa Bay Upsets Dallas on Thursday Night
Top pick Dallas lost Thursday. Houston and Jacksonville both won Sunday. Every avoid-list team won. Monday's Rams upset touched none of our picks.
- Week 4Oct 2, 2026GradedPicks
Week 4 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): Cleveland Edges Pittsburgh on Thursday Night
Top pick Minnesota, alternative Baltimore and fallback Seattle all won. Pittsburgh, the Thursday game we said to avoid, lost.
- Week 3Sep 25, 2026GradedPicks
Week 3 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): Green Bay Falls on Thursday Night
Top pick Kansas City, alternative San Francisco and save play Detroit all won. Green Bay, the Thursday game we flagged, lost.
- Week 2Sep 18, 2026GradedPicks
Week 2 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): The Most-Picked Team Lost Again
Top pick San Francisco won by 22. Alternative Baltimore and save-your-studs Tampa Bay both lost as 77 percent favorites.
- Week 1Sep 14, 2026GradedPicks
Week 1 NFL Survivor Recap (2026): The Most Popular Pick in the Pool Lost
Top pick Chargers lost as an 80 percent favorite. Every alternative and save-list team won. Two of the six games we flagged to avoid burned a favorite.